Europa Posted on 2026-07-13 10:28:00

The conflict in Iran weakens the eurozone - Economists predict economic growth of 0.8-0.9%

From Dorian Koça

The conflict in Iran weakens the eurozone - Economists predict economic growth

Economists have revised their eurozone growth forecast downward for 2026, citing the ongoing conflict in Iran as a significant factor. Expected growth is now pegged at 0.8%-0.9%, down from previous forecasts of 1.1%-1.4%.

This adjustment comes as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupts energy supplies, pushing Brent crude oil prices above $120 per barrel and contributing to a stagflationary environment marked by inflation rates between 2.8% and 3.2%.

The European Central Bank, facing pressure to tackle rising inflation, may reconsider planned interest rate cuts, which could have implications for global monetary policy, particularly in the United States.

The Federal Reserve's response to these developments will be closely monitored, with potential implications for interest rate decisions. Any indication from the Federal Open Market Committee on whether to hold or adjust interest rates will be crucial.

In addition, further geopolitical developments in the Middle East could impact energy prices and economic forecasts. Market participants will be attentive to statements from key policymakers, which could provide further insight into expected monetary policy adjustments.

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